2025 Real Estate Market Predictions & Trends

Updated: November 8, 2024

Contrary to what many would assume, the French Riviera is a tricky place to make money on real estate.

The French Riviera is not a good investment market. Pricing in France does not move quickly outside of Paris, and the villa market is on the decline due to compounding factors.

Unlike most other luxury markets, for the past 15 years, real estate on the French Riviera has not even kept up with inflation, let alone what you could make by investing the money in other ways. The one exception to this was the Covid-bubble, which has since deflated.

This is a long and detailed guide, so we’ve provided a quick summary at the top, and if you want to learn more you can keep reading below.

Profesionales predicen una caída de precios del 37% para 2025. El 92% de agencias vieron an increase in negotiating margins in 2023, as prices dropped by 20% on the French Riviera.

Summary

The temporary Covid-period bump in prices is over, and so are the low interest rates and favorable exchange rates that came with it. The market started crashing in 2022 and hasn’t let up. Prices on the French Riviera dropped by 20% in 2023 alone, and even more in 2024. Here are the main reasons real estate prices will start to get mucho cheaper throughout 2025, and stay low for the foreseeable future:

• We are entering a global housing market slump, incluidos todos los mercados de lujo, que antes eran sólidos. Los precios en los principales mercados inmobiliarios ya están bajando de manera bastante dramática. Puede read about it in the Economist y Bloomberg (and pretty much ever other major publication).
• Los bienes raíces en la Riviera Francesa se inflaron hasta convertirse en una burbuja inasequible a mediados de la década de 2000, volviéndose mucho más altos que los ingresos de los hogares. Luego, los precios se mantuvieron estables durante 15 años hasta el aumento de Covid. Se predice que esta burbuja explotará Los precios caen en picada un 37%. para 2025.
• The French government is actively trying to make real estate more affordable by adding cumbersome taxes for second homes and thinking up multiple other ways to disincentivize house-flipping, investment purchases, AirBnb rentals, and vacation homes. You can 100% expect more of this in the future.
• The government has introduced new tax laws that went into effect this year which increased rental income tax from the old rate of 17% to the new rate of 40% for people who have annual income from furnished rentals exceeding €23,000 (which is low for the French Riviera), or whose rental income is greater than the sum of their other activity income. This makes vacation renting much less lucrative.
• Banks have tightened their lending conditions and become even more cautious. Starting in 2022, the number of mortgages given out was cut, and this will escalate throughout 2025 making it harder and harder to get approved for a mortgage. Real estate professionals have felt it: already, nearly half (47%) admit to seeing an increase in the number of sales cancellations due to loan denials, and these cancellations are set to increase.
• Because of Brexit, British people (estimated at between 25% and 40% of buyers / owners on the French Riviera) will have the amount of time they can spend in the EU (including France) reduced to only 90 days, and they will have to pay a lot more tax on rental income, as well as other new taxes. Mortgages are now more expensive and harder to get for UK residents, and the currency conversion is unfavorable, both making it more expensive than ever to buy outside of the UK. In addition, Brits have had a decrease in spending power due to their currency losing value. These factors are keeping British people from buying new properties on the French Riviera, and at the same time prompting many to consider selling their French Riviera vacation homes.
• New sanctions on Russians have prompted wealthy Russians to sell their villas before they can be seized. Either way, Russian-owned villas and property seizures (due to the war) could soon flood the market with luxury villas, further driving down prices.
• Baby Boomers, who are the majority of villa owners on the French Riviera, are getting up there in age and are getting too old or sick to maintain villas (or, sadly, dying of COVID-19), therefore selling their villas and moving into assisted living or apartments. There are not enough wealthy Millennials to pick up the slack (based on the lack of population and wealth in this demographic), and Millennials tend to prefer living in cities and the sharing economy (AirBnb versus owning).
• Estamos en las primeras etapas de una recesión global, debido a muchos factores, incluido el long-term economic debt cycle being due for downswing. This is likely to become a major global recession, which has already begun to lower real estate prices globally, and could keep prices low (because credit will be much harder to get, among other factors) for about a decade.
• Foreign buyers are now buying houses closer to home (a una distancia máxima de dos horas en coche) y vender sus villas en el sur de Francia. Esto se debe a varios factores, entre ellos: trabajar desde casa varios días de la semana, Brexit, etc. Una vez que fue un comprador importante, Parisian buyers Ahora también están optando por comprar villas a poca distancia de París en coche para poder trabajar cómodamente desde casa y llegar fácilmente a la oficina en coche, en lugar de vivir en un apartamento a tiempo completo.
• la extensión de teletrabajo ha estado animando a determinados inversores a vender sus inmuebles de oficinas para transformarlos en viviendas, aumentando la cantidad de viviendas en venta.
• Climate Change is causing unprecedented drought along the French Riviera. There are new rules that prohibit watering grass and plants or filling swimming pools. In some areas, there is a complete lack of drinking water, and water is being trucked in. Forest fires are now common, and many parts of the French Riviera are ‘red zone’, meaning you can’t rebuild if your house burns down. This will decrease home values along the French Riviera, and prompt more people to rent or buy in areas that are less affected.

Gráficos y datos de respaldo

Aquí están los datos recién publicados de los notarios de aprobaciones de hipotecas por mesy un gráfico (también elaborado por los notarios) que muestra el número actual de ventas en Francia. Como puede ver, las ventas (y los precios de alquiler) están cayendo en picado.

NB: El aumento de los precios entre 2000 y 2007 fue un fenómeno global y fue la mayor burbuja inmobiliaria que el mundo haya visto jamás.

Número de ventas en Francia:

Home sales (green line), number of sales (brown), and home pricing (black):

El sentimiento en EE.UU., para el contexto:

Real Estate as an Investment?

La desafortunada verdad es que la Riviera francesa no es un buen lugar para comprar bienes raíces para una inversión. Aparte de durante la burbuja mundial de Covid, los precios de la vivienda han disminuido constantemente (cuando se ajusta a la inflación) en el sur de Francia desde hace casi 15 años y todo indica que los precios seguirán bajando en el futuro.

"El crecimiento de los precios primarios fue en gran medida estático en la Costa Azul en su conjunto". – Caballero Frank (report)

When looking at pricing stats, consider that inflation is not priced in, and when you account for inflation, the prices have been declining.

Additionally, the French government is actively trying to make real estate less expensive. They’ve recently added cumbersome taxes for second homes, vacation rental profits, and when you sell (up to 49%). They’re forcing banks to reduce the number of mortgages given. They’ve added restrictions on renting, including forcing energy-efficiency renovations. And they’re actively thinking up other ways to disincentivize house-flipping, investment purchases, AirBnb rentals, and vacation homes. You can 100% expect more of this in the future.

El rendimiento medio del alquiler de Nice es only 3.11%, the lowest of the major cities in France, and about half of inflation.

According to Century 21, many private owners will not undertake the energy renovation works that, as of 2023, are now required in order to rent a property. They will instead sell the property because they don’t want to do the work, or because they can’t financially. 

Debido al mayor auge inmobiliario mundial de la historia, combinado con compradores rusos recientemente ricos, los precios de las propiedades inmobiliarias costeras de lujo en la Riviera francesa se dispararon hacia arriba desde mediados de los años 90 hasta 2007. En 2007, estalló la burbuja inmobiliaria mundial. , y en 2008 Las sanciones rusas detuvieron su locura de compras, y desde entonces los precios han estado bajos o estables. Si tuvo la suerte de vender una propiedad durante ese período de alza de precios, lo hizo bien, pero si compró después de 2008, probablemente habrá perdido dinero, ya que los precios inmobiliarios no han seguido el ritmo de la inflación.

Los pocos que vendieron sus villas con una buena ganancia ya sea a un ruso rico o durante la desesperación del Covid –tuvieron suerte– pero esa suerte es ahora over.

If you’re looking to invest in real estate, you're better off buying in Monaco, where the median price has increased by 82% in the last decade.

TIP: If you’re looking at graphs or percentage price increases over the span of years, it’s important to realize that almost none of these charts or stats are inflation-adjusted. When you adjust for inflation, there is no increase in price over the past decade. Además, muchos de estos gráficos fueron elaborados por agencias inmobiliarias y luego proliferaron a través de artículos pagados en los medios de comunicación, y las estadísticas no sólo son subjetivas (ya que sólo incluyen las pocas ventas de su agencia que eligieron incluir), sino que no verificable y no confiable.

Interesting fact: Nearly 30% of villas on the French Riviera are classified as ‘second homes’ (many of which are rented as vacation homes for the summer season), and nearly 8% are “unoccupied” (most of those are used exclusively for vacation rentals). Only 62% are primary residences!

That said, this area is unlike any other on Earth, and if you love the French lifestyle and want to purchase a villa knowing these facts, then there’s a lot to learn before you sign the deed. First, we’ll explain the pricing trends for villas on the French Riviera, then you can continue on to our other France real estate buying guides, listed at the bottom.

Three Markets in One

It’s important to understand that the French Riviera is three markets in one: private, off-market, and publicly listed. Almost all villas go through three markets after the seller decides to sell.

Mercado 1: El Mercado Privado. Primero, los vendedores intentan vender sin recurrir a un agente. Acerca de la mitad de todas las villas se venden de forma privada, without being listed with an agent.

Mercado 2: Fuera del mercado. If they couldn’t sell private, then they list with an agent. A large percentage of villas are sold ‘off-market’ by the agent to their existing contacts, without being listed publicly or on the Internet.

Mercado 3: Cotizado en Bolsa. Si nadie quiere comprar la villa, los agentes la publican en Internet. Estas villas suelen permanecer en el mercado durante muchos años y no se venden a menos que el propietario baje drásticamente el precio.

The Current State of the French Riviera Real Estate Market

Unrealistic Pricing

According to reports, market analysis, and the economists, agents, buyers, and notaires we consulted, the majority of French Riviera villa properties asking more than €1 million are listed at unrealistic prices and are sitting on the publicly-listed market, often for years, until the seller lowers the price to be much lower than others on the market, with the average selling price being around 60% less than the original asking price, but some villas selling (eventually) for as much as 90% under asking.

Another issue is that the French Riviera gets a lot of speculators who own several ‘vacation rental’ villas. These sellers list at high prices and go ‘fishing’ for an ignorant buyer who will overpay (although it’s muy rare that they find one). These villas sit on the market and do not sell because they are listed at rigid, ridiculous prices with owners that are not serious about selling.

Recession and Climbing Interest Rates

As most people are keenly aware, we are in the early stages of a global recession that started in late 2022, due to many factors including interest rates and the long-term economic debt cycle being due for downswing. This is likely to become a major global recession, which has already begun to lower real estate prices globally, and could keep prices low (because credit will be much harder to get, among other factors) for about a decade.

“Tighter [mortgage] borrowing conditions and rising interest rates… The real estate market has shown signs of slowing down in recent months, due to the economic situation, the war in Ukraine, and the nibbling away at purchasing power due to rising inflation.” – JDN May 2022 report

“Goldman Sachs’ analysis found that soaring interest rates, stretched affordability and weakening economic growth will take the heat out of property markets after the pandemic price surge. The Wall Street bank’s model predicted that France will suffer peak-to-trough declines in prices of 9%.” – Yahoo, June 2022

A useful indicator of the outlook is esta encuesta undertaken by the national statistics office INSEE into the level of household confidence, which is at its lowest for over 20 years, as shown on the graphic below.

Lending Conditions Continue to Tighten

Starting in 2022, Se redujo el número de hipotecas concedidas. and interest rates rose dramatically; this will escalate throughout 2025, making it harder and harder to get approved for a mortgage. Real estate professionals have felt it: nearly half (47%) have seen an increase in the number of sales cancellations due to loan denials, and these cancellations are set to increase.

A new law came into effect at the beginning of 2022 that requires people taking out mortgages to not have a monthly debt ratio of more than 35%. This means their expenditure, including the monthly mortgage repayment and any other loans or expenses the buyer might have, cannot be more than 35% of their income.

The notaires’ latest report confirms that this is having an effect on mortgage approval rates. Additionally, a separate report carried out by mortgage broker Vousfinancer found borrowers who have an indebtedness level of under 35% are still being refused loans because of the distance between their work and their prospective home. 

These new conditions, combined with a general tightening of mortgage conditions imposed by the banks, are already having an effect on the number of villas sold, and consequently will affect villa pricing over time.

“La falta estructural de vivienda, y los bajos tipos de crédito es lo que ha provocado que los precios se hayan multiplicado por 2,5 en 20 años, y por tanto, sentimos que esta fase ha terminado”, comentó Corinne Jolly, presidenta de Particulier à Particulier. La nueva construcción cae, con una caída en el primer trimestre de las reservas con promotores (-41% interanual) y de las licencias de obra (-11,5%) a mayo de 2023.

Foreign Buyers Are Decreasing

In 2020, 1.3% of second homes were bought by people who were not residents in France. This is compared to 1.7% in 2010. This trend is predicted to continue in 2025, with the notaires expecting the proportion of foreign buyers to continue to fall.

Los extranjeros también están hartos de ser estafados y con la introducción de DVF, ahora pueden ver lo mal que Los agentes les están mintiendo. sobre precios locales. En el Gran París, los Alpes y Provenza-Costa Azul-Córcega, las propiedades adquiridas por extranjeros no residentes son más caras. Esta tendencia es muy marcada en Provenza-Costa Azul-Córcega, donde las casas más antiguas compradas por extranjeros no residentes son 180% veces más caro for the same number of rooms and location.

The War and Russian Villa Seizures

Wealthy Russians own más de 2000 villas on the French Riviera, many of them belonging to Vladimir Putin’s closest friends. Due to Russia initiating war with the Ukraine, France and Monaco have already started seizing the assets and villas of Russians connected to Putin, plus their families, close friends, and anyone who may have benefitted from a friend’s connection to Putin. They are casting an increasingly wider and wider net, scaring many Russians into selling before they are sanctioned.

This could soon have a profound effect on the real estate market, as potentially hundreds of luxury villas, previously owned by Russians, will soon be seized or voluntarily put on the market for sale.

The French Riviera “is not a booming market as we used to have pre-2008, [when we had] Russian purchasers who were buying most everything at crazy prices,” says Sotheby’s (Hollywood Reporter, July 2021 article)

Lea nuestro guide to Russian villa seizures & how this will impact the real estate market on the French Riviera, for more details.

Trends in the Real Estate Market

The Last 15 Years

Aside from the largest cities, real estate in France has been struggling for the past 15 years. The French Riviera’s real estate pricing has performed much worse than most other areas of France, with the rural areas performing the worst.

Sold prices have, for the past 15 years, been flat-lined or decreasing, aside from a temporary bump due to Covid-19. The Covid bump in prices started correcting back to pre-Covid pricing in 2022, and in 2023 went below pre-Covid pricing to the lowest France has seen since the lows of the 2008 housing market crash.

The Covid Effect

During the worst of Covid isolation, from Q3-2020 to Q1-2022, sales in the luxury villa market were typically at prices far above market value, purchased by price-insensitive people (and many Monaco residents) who wanted to move quickly, or people feeling flush due to record-breakingly low interest rates and extremely favorable exchange rates. These sales are not representative of where the market is at overall.

Las ventas de alto precio que se produjeron entre 2020 y mediados de 2022 fueron una anomalía debido a un conjunto de circunstancias muy singular, todas las cuales han terminado desde entonces.

Despite these Covid-effect sales, the vast majority of publicly-listed villas that were listed before and during Covid have not sold and remain on the market, a un valor muy superior al de mercado.

“The optimism seen at the end of 2021 proved to be short-lived, brought to a halt by the outbreak of the war in the Ukraine. This shock was immediately seen across all economic indicators in March, reflecting the concerns that are weighing on the spending power of both business leaders (-6.1 points in the business climate index in March) and householders (-6 points in the householder confidence index).” – Cushman & Wakefield (2022 report)

La red inmobiliaria Orpi informó que las ventas disminuyeron un 17% en los primeros 3 meses de 2022 en comparación con el mismo período de 2021. Guillaume Martinaud, presidente de la red Orpi,dijoBFM a finales de febrero de 2023: “Se acabó la fiesta. Estamos viendo un reequilibrio. En nuestras agencias lo sentimos muy claramente: ya no hay colas. Creo que lo que está sucediendo ahora es saludable”, dijo sobre la caída de los precios después de dos años de ser “demasiado altos”.

“La gente se está dando cuenta de que ser propietario de una casa no es lo que realmente quiere”, comentarios Corinne Jolly, presidenta de Particulier à Particulier. “Se están alejando un poco de la imagen de postal que había al final del confinamiento por el Covid-19”.

2022 to 2025 and Beyond

The property market is slowly beginning to recalibrate after being heavily impacted from 2020 to 2022, by Covid-19, which led to a record number of sales of houses, and record-high prices. Sold prices have already started to swing downward and continue to be a buyer’s market for the next decade or more due to factors described in this guide. That’s especially true for rural villas along the French Riviera.

Por primera vez desde Covid-19, el sitio inmobiliario Bien'ici noted a sharp 12% increase in supply and, at the same time, a sharp drop in demand, with searches for houses dropping 30% in the second half of 2022. Meanwhile, property ads were already staying online for 50% longer, by the end of 2022.

Notaire data on house sales released throughout 2023 and 2024 showed a dramatic decrease in the sales both old and new houses. FNAIM estimated that overall demand could decrease by 10% by the end of 2023, correlating to a 5% reduction in house prices, but that prediction came true early — by the middle of 2023. “The lights are on red at all levels”, they said.

Según los resultados de un estudiar llevado a cabo a finales de 2023, El 92% de las agencias vio un aumento en los márgenes de negociación en 2023.

According to a July 2024 report by French bank Crédit Commercial de France (CCF), sales to foreign non-residents fell by 14% in 2023. Not unexpectedly, highest average sale prices were in the Ile-de-France (€803,000), where the sale price remained steady. It was followed by Provence-Cote-d’Azur (€582,000) and Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes (€418,000), which both saw the average sale prices drop by around 20%.

Lo que dicen los representantes de la industria

“Estamos siendo testigos de un cambio profundo en el mercado tal como lo hemos experimentado durante los últimos diez o quince años. Por tanto, es comprensible que los vendedores tarden en aceptar este nuevo marco y aún no hayan ajustado sus precios en consecuencia. Probablemente en 2024 se debería establecer un nuevo equilibrio entre compradores y vendedores”, concluded Stéphane Fritz, presidente de la agencia inmobiliaria Guy Hoquet.

Charles Marinakis of Century 21 dicho, “According to our observations, the slowdown in activity continues. This is confirmation of what we saw during the second half of 2022. Our figures for January 2023 confirmed this trend. Even if the home sector resists, the volume of transactions is decreasing. Overall, the drop is -6% across France. We had anticipated this slowdown. According to the expression, «when it is too expensive, it is too expensive». [We are seeing] a return to progressive reason. Very often, sellers take time to agree to lower their prices.”

Gary Friedman, director ejecutivo de RH dicho en diciembre de 2022, sobre el estado del mercado inmobiliario de lujo: “Creo que el mercado inmobiliario se ha derrumbado y bajó bastante brutalmente a medida que subieron las tasas de interés. Es simplemente mucha incertidumbre en este momento. Pero una cosa de la que estoy seguro es que el mercado inmobiliario está colapsando a un nivel que no había visto desde 2008. No había visto este tipo de caída desde 2008”.

77% of notaires said that 2023 is a good time to sell (in other words, sell as soon as possible, as the prices are decreasing) and a bad time to buy property in France (it’s better to wait, as prices will fall more). Notaires have seen a drop in the number of property purchases en 2022, y esperamos que el mercado continúe su trayectoria descendente.

El jefe de la red de agencias inmobiliarias L'Adresse predicted a 10% price drop, and Marc Touati, president of ACDEFI, an independent economic and financial consulting firm, dicho he expects to see prices drop around 15% by the end of 2023. What actually happened? They dropped 20% in 2023.

Henry Buzy-Cazaux, founding president of the Institut du Management des Services Immobiliers, in a recent interview with Le Revenu magazine, said, about sold prices, that “a fall in prices of 10% [in vacation markets such as the French Riviera] seems inevitable”, and speaking about the effects of the economy in France, he also predicted an overall real estate market decline of 30%.

Recent Selling Trends by Price Bracket

Buyers looking to acquire a villa in France increasingly favor lower priced properties, particularly those under €800,000, and there are significantly less buyers of high-priced villas. This trend has, in part, been caused by the coronavirus pandemic, which has meant fewer wealthy foreign buyers (who have instead bought weekend houses in their country of residence) and more local French buyers. 

The change in proportion of total sales of villas / countryside houses varied by price bracket:

• The proportion of villas that sold for under €800,000 increased from 30% in 2019 to 38% in 2021. 
• Villa sales in the between €800,000 to €1 million increased from 15% to 22% in the same time frame.
• Properties that sold for between €1 million and €2 million decreased from 35% in 2019 to 29% in 2021.
• Properties that sold for over €2 million decreased from 20% in 2019 to only 11% of total sales in 2021.

Remember that you can't compare the French Riviera to France overall. There are regional differences in property price changes, and the French Riviera has far less growth than many other areas in France. For example, in 2021 the annual m² sold price rose 12,4% en Rennes y sólo 0,6% en Nice. Paris alone pulls the ‘overall France’ real estate pricing trends way upwards.

Expert Market Predictions for 2025

In 2025, the French Riviera is a buyer’s market, and will become even more so for many years to come, due to the global recession, high interest rates, foreign buyers increasingly purchasing homes in their domicile countries, France aggressively disincentivizing second home and investment ownership, and the luxury villa market being flooded with villas sold by, or seized from, Russians.

We consulted a number of top economists, investment advisors, and (honest) real estate agents and notaires, as well as recent buyers, about the publicly-listed French Riviera villa market, and these were our findings (this applies to villas on the French Riviera only).

Keep in mind that the m² listed below is the advertised m², not the falsely low m² listed by the notaires. The prices below reflect sold prices, not asking prices.

Sold Prices of €3 Million+

• Very high-end market
• Sold prices of more than €3 million
• Normally applies to exceptional, ultra-luxury villas of 1000+ m², often with multiple villas on the property

This market segment is very hard to gauge because there are so few sales in this category. These are the most ultra-luxury highly-desirable and unique seaside properties on the French Riviera. Most were owned by Russians and are staying on the market for many years and not selling.

Less than 5% of villas that are listed at more than €3 million actually end up selling for more than €3 million. In this segment, some of the overpricing is due to Russian’s needing to sell villas that they paid over-market for.

La gran mayoría de las villas que se vendieron por este precio se vendieron con un sorprendente descuento de entre el 65% y el 85% sobre el precio de venta original, con un descuento promedio de alrededor del 70%. Hemos visto muchas villas muy deseables que se han vendido en los últimos años con un descuento de más del 70% sobre el precio de venta original. Un par de ejemplos típicos: en Beaulieu-sur-Mer, two huge and newly renovated sea-view villas on the same property that were originally listed at €18 million just sold for €3.6 million, and a highly-desirable villa with 100% unobstructed sea view on the tip of Cap Martin was listed at €4.9 million and recently sold for €1.8 million.

Like in all market categories, villas that are overpriced are not selling, even if they are famous, highly-desirable villas. Sean Connery’s stunning seaside villa is a great example of this — its price was cut in half after a year on the market and yet it still hasn’t sold, after copious amounts of advertising and news coverage and more than three years on the market. A desirable Cap d’Ail villa owned by a Russian oligarch has been listed privately, for an undisclosed sum, since 2015, and publicly (by many agencies) since 2017, first for €30 million and now for €23 million — and it still hasn’t sold. There are many other similar examples, especially in the high-end market with Russian owners.

This is because in-the-know financial advisors of wealthy buyers are predicting that the market is on a long-term downward pricing trend, because banks won’t authorize over-value mortgages, and because Russians are no longer coming with suitcases of cash. These factors are pushing the prices much, much lower.

Sold Prices of €1 to 3 Million

• Mid-range luxury villa market
• Sold prices of €1 million to €3 million
• Normally applies to luxury villas of 250 m² to 1000 m²

This segment saw a small bump in selling prices during Covid, of around 0.5%, with occasional sales at much higher than market value (due to the Covid effect). Since 2022 sales have normalizes and overall volume has decreased. We expect sold prices (not asking prices) to continue to drop significantly in 2025. Currently, this segment of the market is stagnant, while buyers wait for prices to fall.

Villas in this bracket are selling for between a 40% and 80% discount off the asking price, as extreme overpricing abounds in this price range. There are many more sellers in this segment than serious buyers. Ultra-modern villas are in demand (but not if overpriced), while stone, old-seeming, and classic styles are not selling.

Estos propietarios suelen ser ancianos o rusos. Espere ver un aumento en las ventas en dificultades en este segmento en los próximos años debido al envejecimiento de los Baby Boomers, la economía, los extranjeros que venden debido al aumento de impuestos, el Incautaciones de villas rusasy los efectos continuos del Brexit.

Sold Prices of €600k to €1 Million

• Mercado de villas de gama media baja
• Precios de venta de 600.000 € a 1 millón de €
• Normalmente se aplica a villas de menos de 400 m².

In this bracket, well-priced villas in good condition sold well until interest rates started to increase in 2022, and now the number of total sales are decreasing. However, we expect pricing to continue to drop significantly in 2025 due to affordability issues.

Los principales compradores de este grupo son las familias francesas. Los vendedores de este segmento suelen ser ciudadanos franceses o británicos. En ambos casos tienen motivación para vender (cuestiones económicas, divorcio, etc.) y el Brexit seguirá afectando a este segmento.

Market May Be Slow to Adjust

A menudo, cuando la actividad de compra se desacelera, los propietarios y agentes inmobiliarios necesitan algún tiempo para ajustar sus expectativas y reducir los precios. Mientras tanto, es posible que se vendan propiedades con precios realistas, pero Las propiedades que no ajustan sus precios permanecerán en el mercado, a menudo durante años., hasta que ajusten sus expectativas y bajen el precio para estar en línea con el mercado (Descubra cómo determinar el precio correcto.).

Tenga en cuenta that statistics that include the entirety of France are misleading as they include big cities like Paris and Marseille, where demand remains strong and prices are increasing. Rural and vacation-home areas like the French Riviera are, conversely, on a downward trajectory.

Real estate agents and notaires get paid when you complete the purchase, and the more you spend, the more they make. So, naturally, they tend to be very optimistic about the market. They are incentivized to tell you that it’s a super-hot market and prices are going up, as this pressures buyers into feeling like they should buy sooner and for more money, and it incentivizes sellers to list their homes. Even in obviously soft or declining markets, agents and notaires will often tell you that it’s a hot market.

¿Comprar una villa? ¡Leé esto primero!

Cuando esté listo para buscar una propiedad, asegúrese de leer nuestra guía completa para comprar bienes raíces en Francia. Estas guías explican cómo estimar el valor de una propiedad. real valor, cómo obtener el mejor precio y evitar sobreprecios, qué tener en cuenta, cómo evitar ser estafado y más.

En primer lugar, para comprender el mercado inmobiliario en Francia, es necesario comprender cómo El precio de los m² es una estafa gigante.. Luego, puedes pasar a las otras guías:

Nuestro guía de listados de bienes raíces incluye: cómo encontrar villas en venta, qué buscar, información errónea y advertencias, subastas y ejecuciones hipotecarias, compras directas a los vendedores, por qué el tiempo lo es todo y la razón por la cual solo aproximadamente la mitad de las ventas de villas cotizan en bolsa.

Nuestro guía de estafas y secretos incluye: advertencias sobre los trucos poco éticos que utilizan los agentes, notarios, vendedores, desarrolladores y constructores para sacarle más dinero. Esta es una lectura obligada y la guía para denunciantes que aquellos en el negocio no quieren que usted vea.

Nuestro guía para agentes inmobiliarios includes: the dishonest things agents will tell you, how real estate agencies operate, buyer’s agents and property finders, why you should avoid illegal and non-local agents, and who to trust (an important warning).

Nuestro guía para fijar precios y determinar el valor de mercado de una villa includes: why there’s so much extreme overpricing, how to estimate a villa’s market value (what it’s worth), and a step-by-step guide to finding your offer price. Plus, supplementary guía para los rusos y su impacto en el mercado inmobiliario de la Riviera Francesa.

Nuestro guía de cosas importantes para descubrir incluye: informes y encuestas de diagnóstico, sol y microclimas, posibles problemas con la vista, impuestos sobre la vivienda, edad, acceso a Internet y dispositivos móviles, zonas peligrosas (rojas), riesgos para la salud, problemas de privacidad y espacio, problemas cercanos, lo que usted Realmente poseerás adiciones y estructuras ilegales, por qué se venden, cómo verificarlas y más.

Nuestro guía de cosas a considerar incluye: tu actual costos, problemas con la compra de una villa 'recién renovada', información sobre el crimen local y los ocupantes ilegales, y preguntas que debe hacerse.

Nuestro guía para el proceso de compra incluye: negociar el precio y la oferta inicial, elegir un notario honesto, comprar con ganancias, la oferta y el depósito oficiales, utilizar un SCI, los riesgos del contrato, el período de reflexión, qué hacer antes de entregar el dinero y el firma definitiva.

Nuestro guía para después de comprar incluye: riesgos de seguros, consejos para segundas residencias, alquiler de su villa, renovaciones y lo que debe saber sobre la contratación de personas.

Guía para vendedores: Cómo ponerle precio a tu villa para que se venda.